Cherry Blossom Forecasts in Japan

Japan’s iconic cherry blossom blooms draw in travelers from all around the world each spring. However, planning a trip around something as fickle as the start of a season can be tough. Thankfully, the Japan Meteorological Corporation (JMC) has begun to release its 2018 cherry blossom forecasts.

The forecasts aim to predict when cherry blossoms – known as sakura – will bloom and when they will reach full bloom at around 1,000 different viewing locations across the country. Moreover, Hanami, or cherry blossom viewing, is a beloved Japanese custom that draws massive crowds outdoors to appreciate the ephemeral beauty of the blossoms.

Since the beginning of the season can be unpredictable, the forecast is frequently updated throughout the year. Consequently, the second forecast for 2018 was released on 1 February. Currently, blooms in Tokyo are expected to begin on 20 March, with full bloom anticipated around 28 March.

In Hokkaido, Japan’s northernmost prefecture, the flowers are anticipated to start showing up around 3 May, peaking on 6 May. Meanwhile, blooms in major cities on Japan’s main island of Honshu will arrive a bit earlier than in the north. Kyoto will experience blossoms starting on 27 March and reach full bloom by 4 April, while Osaka’s blooms are expected to appear a day earlier, on 26 March, peaking by 3 April.

The JMC has developed its own methodology for forecasting flowering and bloom dates, based on existing research, historical bloom data, and temperatures from the previous fall and winter. This is particularly important since the buds of the blossoms are formed during the summer of the prior year.

In conclusion, the forecast provides travelers with a sense of when they might witness one of Japan’s most stunning natural displays. Therefore, since nature can be unpredictable, regularly checking the forecast can help ensure you see the blossoms at their best.